Kalshi
Will Rhode Island’s commercial quahog landings for 2026 be above 310,000 meat pounds?
Above 310,000 meat pounds
Updated 4d ago · Settles Jun 30, 27
Kalshi YES
15¢
Bid 15¢ · Ask 16¢
Pricedger fair probability
13%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.7 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
26,719
Fine-print risk
2/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
If RIDEM reports Rhode Island’s commercial quahog landings for 2026 is above 310,000 meat pounds, then the market resolves to Yes.
Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.
Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence
See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.
Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive
Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.
Quarter-Kelly paper sizing
Exact stake, expected value and scenario matrix for your bankroll — paper trading only.
Locked previews show illustrative sample figures.
The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal
Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.
See the full Pricedger analysisResearch and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology