Kalshi · Climate and Weather

Where will it rain on Oct 3, 2026?

Oklahoma City

Updated 6d ago · Settles Oct 5, 26

Kalshi YES

29¢

Bid 28¢ · Ask 29¢

Pricedger fair probability

28%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

-1.5 pts

On NO after fees · medium confidence

Volume

27,305

Fine-print risk

2/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

If the total precipitation at CLIOKC in Oklahoma City in Oct 3, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology