Kalshi · Politics
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner
Doctors Without Borders
Updated 3d ago · Settles Dec 31, 26
Kalshi YES
10¢
Bid 9¢ · Ask 10¢
Pricedger fair probability
6%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+2.6 pts
On NO after fees · medium confidence
Volume
43,723
Fine-print risk
2/100
Resolution-rule audit
The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal
Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.
See the full Pricedger analysisResearch and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology