Kalshi

Will the Dallas pro football team win at least 12 games this season?

12+ wins

Updated 16d ago · Settles Jan 18, 27

Kalshi YES

17¢

Bid 16¢ · Ask 17¢

Pricedger fair probability

15%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+0.2 pts

On NO after fees · medium confidence

Volume

27,820

Fine-print risk

2/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

If the Dallas Pro Football team wins at least 12 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.

Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence

Pro

See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive

Pro

Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Quarter-Kelly paper sizing

Pro

Exact stake, expected value and scenario matrix for your bankroll — paper trading only.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Locked previews show illustrative sample figures.

The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal

Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.

See the full Pricedger analysis

Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology