Kalshi
Will Likud win above 26 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Above 26
Updated 16m ago · Settles Oct 27, 27
Kalshi YES
77¢
Bid 71¢ · Ask 84¢
Pricedger fair probability
80%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-5.0 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
42,868
Fine-print risk
7/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
If Likud has won above 26 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
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