Kalshi
Will Jerome Powell leave Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jun 1, 2027?
Before Jun 1, 2027
Updated 3d ago · Settles Jun 1, 27
Kalshi YES
61¢
Bid 60¢ · Ask 65¢
Pricedger fair probability
63%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-3.3 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
28,783
Fine-print risk
10/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jun 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.
Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence
See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.
Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive
Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.
Quarter-Kelly paper sizing
Exact stake, expected value and scenario matrix for your bankroll — paper trading only.
Locked previews show illustrative sample figures.
The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal
Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.
See the full Pricedger analysisResearch and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology