Kalshi · Sports

Barcelona vs Real Madrid

Real Madrid

Updated 55m ago · Settles Oct 27, 26

Kalshi YES

23¢

Bid 22¢ · Ask 23¢

Pricedger fair probability

21%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

-0.3 pts

On NO after fees · medium confidence

Volume

19,012,264

Fine-print risk

2/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

If Real Madrid wins the Barcelona vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

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Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology