Kalshi
Will neither the bloc of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu nor the bloc of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas win at least 61 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
None
Updated 7m ago · Settles Oct 27, 27
Kalshi YES
95¢
Bid 96¢ · Ask 97¢
Pricedger fair probability
99%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.8 pts
On YES after fees · medium confidence
Volume
46,800
Fine-print risk
7/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
If neither the bloc of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu nor the bloc of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas has won at least 61 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
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