Kalshi
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before November 1, 2027?
Before Nov 1, 2027
Updated 4m ago · Settles Nov 2, 27
Kalshi YES
47¢
Bid 43¢ · Ask 44¢
Pricedger fair probability
43%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-1.8 pts
On NO after fees · medium confidence
Volume
76,876
Fine-print risk
2/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before November 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
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