Kalshi
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 1, 2027?
Before Jul 1, 2027
Updated 1d ago · Settles Jul 1, 27
Kalshi YES
47¢
Bid 46¢ · Ask 47¢
Pricedger fair probability
46%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-2.0 pts
On NO after fees · medium confidence
Volume
1,615,121
Fine-print risk
2/100
Resolution-rule audit
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