Kalshi

Will real GDP increase by more than 4.0% in Q1 2027?

Above 4.0%

Updated 14d ago · Settles Apr 29, 27

Kalshi YES

2¢

Bid 9¢ · Ask 21¢

Pricedger fair probability

14%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

-5.9 pts

On NO after fees · low confidence

Volume

36,822

Fine-print risk

2/100

Resolution-rule audit

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Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology

Will **real GDP** increase by more than 4.0% in Q1 2027?

Will real GDP increase by more than 4.0% in Q1 2027?