Kalshi

Will real GDP increase by more than 3.5% in Q1 2027?

Above 3.5%

Updated 14d ago · Settles Apr 29, 27

Kalshi YES

12¢

Bid 18¢ · Ask 50¢

Pricedger fair probability

34%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

-16.7 pts

On NO after fees · low confidence

Volume

54,984

Fine-print risk

2/100

Resolution-rule audit

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Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology

Will **real GDP** increase by more than 3.5% in Q1 2027?

Will real GDP increase by more than 3.5% in Q1 2027?