Kalshi
State of the economy at the end of 2026?
Soft landing
Updated 16d ago · Settles Jan 13, 27
Kalshi YES
30¢
Bid 27¢ · Ask 30¢
Pricedger fair probability
28%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-2.4 pts
On NO after fees · medium confidence
Volume
28,940
Fine-print risk
2/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is Below 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is below 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.
Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence
See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.
Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive
Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.
Quarter-Kelly paper sizing
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The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal
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