Kalshi · Economics
CPI core in October
Above 0.3%
Updated 55m ago · Settles Nov 17, 26
Kalshi YES
29¢
Bid 27¢ · Ask 30¢
Pricedger fair probability
28%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-2.4 pts
On NO after fees · medium confidence
Volume
58,071
Fine-print risk
2/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for October 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence
See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.
Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive
Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.
Quarter-Kelly paper sizing
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The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal
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