Kalshi
Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before May 1, 2027?
Before May 1, 2027
Updated 13d ago · Settles May 1, 27
Kalshi YES
46¢
Bid 46¢ · Ask 48¢
Pricedger fair probability
47%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-2.6 pts
On NO after fees · medium confidence
Volume
79,806
Fine-print risk
16/100
Resolution-rule audit
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