Kalshi
Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 3% and 6%?
Flávio Bolsonaro, 3-6%
Updated 26m ago · Settles Oct 25, 27
Kalshi YES
38¢
Bid 36¢ · Ask 38¢
Pricedger fair probability
36%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-1.4 pts
On NO after fees · medium confidence
Volume
58,754
Fine-print risk
4/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is within 3% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
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