Kalshi

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Updated 2d ago · Settles Oct 4, 27

Kalshi YES

0¢

Bid 0¢ · Ask 0¢

Pricedger fair probability

1%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+0.9 pts

On YES after fees · medium confidence

Volume

747,216

Fine-print risk

2/100

Resolution-rule audit

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Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology