Kalshi
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Flávio Bolsonaro
Updated 2d ago · Settles Oct 4, 27
Kalshi YES
100¢
Bid 100¢ · Ask 100¢
Pricedger fair probability
99%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.9 pts
On NO after fees · medium confidence
Volume
498,056
Fine-print risk
2/100
Resolution-rule audit
The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal
Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.
See the full Pricedger analysisResearch and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology