Kalshi · Elections

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

Democrats sweep

Updated 3d ago · Settles Feb 8, 27

Kalshi YES

64¢

Bid 63¢ · Ask 64¢

Pricedger fair probability

65%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

-0.9 pts

On YES after fees · medium confidence

Volume

4,374,033

Fine-print risk

2/100

Resolution-rule audit

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Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology